Monday, October 27, 2008
Nouriel Roubini: 20-30% downside risk to s&p
Nourel Roubini is an economist and professor at New York University.1 He was one of the only people to accurately predict the current global economic crisis. Roubini started predicting a possible financial meltdown in 2004, and received the nickname "Dr. Doom" after a 2006 International Monetary Fund meeting. Roubini, once an obscure economist, has become an in-demand analyst due to his uncannily accurate and pessimistic predictions.
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The Bear Funds Scoreboard
Exchange-Traded Funds( (fund name order) 10/27/08
Fund Ticker Last
Change
Volume
PF ULTRASHORT BASIC MATERIALS SMN 109.91 12.82 13.20% 4,582,576
PF ULTRASHORT CONSUMER GOODS SZK 116.00 5.24 4.73% 28,064
PF ULTRASHORT CONSUMER SERVICES SCC 180.00 10.10 5.94% 115,185
PT ULTRASHORT DOW 30 DXD 96.67 5.12 5.59% 16,760,302
PF ULTRASHORT FINANCIAL SKF 177.99 14.18 8.66% 19,134,683
PF ULTRASHORT FTSE/XINHUA CHINA 25 FXP 183.01 31.81 21.04% 1,651,972
PF ULTRASHORT HEALTH CARE RXD 112.00 7.82 7.51% 3,080
PF ULTRASHORT INDUSTRIALS SIJ 147.65 6.70 4.75% 63,578
PT ULTRASHORT MIDCAP 400 MZZ 130.87 11.46 9.60% 585,138
PT ULTRASHORT MSCI EAFE( EFU 212.96 19.84 10.27% 220,077
PT ULTRASHORT MSCI EMERGING MARKET EEV 194.00 11.30 6.19% 2,656,757
PT ULTRASHORT MSCI JAPAN EWV 148.00 15.52 11.71% 31,539
PF ULTRASHORT OIL & GAS DUG 56.80 5.25 10.18% 20,551,251
PT ULTRASHORT QQQ QID 87.80 3.65 4.34% 33,043,872
PF ULTRASHORT REAL ESTATE SRS 199.42 20.52 11.47% 3,808,703
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL 1000 GROWTH SFK 152.99 9.83 6.86% 15,736
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL 1000 VALUE SJF 153.40 0.44 0.29% 9,695
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL 2000
TWM 143.00 12.00 9.16% 6,393,159
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH SKK 158.55 16.11 11.31% 28,145
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL 2000 VALUE SJH 153.98 11.98 8.44% 11,461
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL MID GROWTH SDK 185.40 9.12 5.17% 16,323
PF ULTRASHORT RUSSELL MID VALUE SJL 195.00 15.16 8.43% 7,577
PF ULTRASHORT SEMICONDUCTOR SSG 155.34 1.74 1.13% 95,099
PF ULTRASHORT S&P SMALL CAP 600
SDD 139.66 10.99 8.55% 72,565
PT ULTRASHORT S&P 500 SDS 114.31 6.26 5.79% 49,216,915
PF ULTRASHORT TECHNOLOGY REW 129.43 5.43 4.38% 70,636
PF ULTRASHORT TELECOMMUNICATIONS TLL 136.08 3.08 2.32% 2,511
PF ULTRASHORT UTILITIES SDP 99.81 7.81 8.49% 97,372
RYDEX INVERSE 2X Russell 2000 (
RRZ 160.15 12.66 8.58% 7,955
RYDEX INVERSE 2X S&P 500(
RSW 181.79 10.79 6.31% 57,222
RYDEX INVERSE 2X S&P MidCap 400
RMS 184.94 7.94 4.49% 2,045
RYDEX INVERSE 2x S&P Sel. Sector Energy
REC 151.00 0.08 0.05% 2,500
RYDEX INVERSE 2x S&P Sel. Sector Health
RHO 96.72 0.83 0.85% 200
RYDEX INVERSE 2x S&P Sel. Sector Tech
RTW 161.66 8.98 5.88% 3,321
SHORT DOW 30 DOG 88.55 1.88 2.17% 744,875
SHORT FINANCIALS SEF 93.96 3.40 3.75% 15,040
SHORT S&P MIDCAP400 MYY 97.40 4.64 5.00% 38,893
SHORT MSCI EAFE
EFZ
131.97 8.39 6.79% 28,484
SHORT MSCI EMERGING MARKETS
EUM 140.92 3.43 2.49% 70,837
SHORT OIL & GAS DDG 118.00 7.75 7.03% 6,650
SHORT QQQ PSQ 85.84 2.02 2.41% 326,462
SHORT RUSSELL 2000
RWM 108.75 4.70 4.52% 55,818
SHORT S&P 500 SH 96.20 2.80 3.00% 794,296
SHORT S&P SMALL CAP 600
SBB 103.54 3.17 3.16% 3,200
The Bear Funds Scoreboard
Mutual Funds (fund name order) 10/27/08
Fund Ticker NAV Change
Access Flex Bear High Yield Fund AFBIX 29.02 0.04 0.14%
Comstock Capital Value Fund DRCVX 3.49 0.08 2.35%
Comstock Strategy Fund CPFAX 3.21 0.05 1.58%
Direxion Developed Mkts Bear 2.0X Fund DXDSX 31.68 3.02 10.54%
Direxion Dollar Bear 2.5X Fund DXDDX 17.38 0.24 1.36%
Direxion Emerging Markets Bear 2.0X Fund DXESX 57.27 3.36 6.23%
Direxion FDS 10 Year Note Bear Fund DXKSX 13.29 0.06 0.45%
Direxion High Yield Bear Fund PHBRX 19.61 0.03 0.15%
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Bear 2.5X Fund DXQSX 31.33 2.00 6.82%
Direxion S&P 500 Bear 2.5X Fund DXSSX 37.83 2.81 8.02%
Direxion Small Cap Bear 2.5X Fund DXRSX 25.23 2.71 12.03%
Leuthold Grizzly Short Fund GRZZX 10.68 0.35 3.39%
ProFunds: Bear ProFund BRPIX 40.79 1.25 3.16%
ProFunds: Falling US Dollar ProFund FDPIX 26.45 0.11 0.41%
ProFunds: Rising Rates Opp. Fund RRPIX 15.80 0.01 0.06%
ProFunds: Rising Rates Opp. 10 Fund RTPIX 26.69 0.00 0.00%
ProFunds: Short Oil & Gas ProFund SNPIX 24.43 1.33 5.76%
ProFunds: Short Real Estate ProFund SRPIX 40.87 2.18 5.63%
ProFunds: Short Small-Cap ProFund SHPIX 24.09 1.11 4.83%
ProFunds: Short OTC ProFund SOPIX 22.65 0.61 2.77%
ProFunds: Short Precious Metals Fund SPPIX 38.33 3.11 8.83%
ProFunds: UltraBear ProFund URPIX 29.56 1.76 6.33%
ProFunds: UltraShort Emkt Fund UVPIX 22.35 1.63 7.87%
ProFunds: UltraShort Japan Fund UKPIX 92.58 8.60 10.24%
ProFunds: UltraShort Intl Fund UXPIX 56.12 5.46 10.78%
ProFunds: UltraShort Mid-Cap ProFund UIPIX 31.16 2.50 8.72%
ProFunds: UltraShort Small-Cap ProFund UCPIX 27.43 2.46 9.85%
ProFunds: UltraShort Dow 30 ProFund UWPIX 33.21 1.59 5.03%
ProFunds: UltraShort OTC ProFund USPIX 21.83 1.12 5.41%
Prudent Bear Fund BEARX 8.69 0.17 2.00%
Prudent Global Income Fund PSAFX 11.67 0.01 0.09%
Rydex Inverse Dynamic Dow Fund RYCWX 64.51 3.07 5.00%
Rydex Inverse Dynamic OTC Fund RYVNX 28.31 1.55 5.79%
Rydex Inverse Dynamic Russell 2000 Fund RYIRX 82.12 7.33 9.80%
Rydex Inverse Dynamic S&P 500 Fund RYTPX 67.59 3.98 6.26%
Rydex Inverse Government Long Bond Fund RYJUX 16.65 0.14 0.83%
Rydex Inverse Mid-Cap Fund RYMHX 57.17 2.50 4.57%
Rydex Inverse OTC Fund RYAIX 30.11 0.84 2.87%
Rydex Inverse Russell 2000 Fund RYSHX 54.28 2.51 4.85%
Rydex Inverse S&P 500 Fund RYURX 58.37 1.73 3.05%
Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:
ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short MidCap400 MYY S&P MidCap 400
Short SmallCap600 SBB S&P SmallCap 600
Short Russell2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort MidCap400 MZZ S&P MidCap 400
UltraShort SmallCap600 SDD S&P SmallCap 600
UltraShort Russell2000 TWM Russell 2000
UltraShort Style:
ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell MidCap Value SJL Russell MidCap Value
UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth SDK Russell MidCap Growth
UltraShort Russell2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth
UltraShort Sector:
ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Basic Materials SMN Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials
UltraShort Consumer Goods SZK Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods
UltraShort Consumer Services SCC Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services
UltraShort Financials SKF Dow Jones U.S. Financials
UltraShort Health Care RXD Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
UltraShort Industrials SIJ Dow Jones U.S. Industrials
UltraShort Real Estate SRS Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
UltraShort Semiconductors SSG Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors
UltraShort Oil & Gas (Note: Read this if you’re thinking of using DUG to short oil prices) DUG Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas
UltraShort Technology REW Dow Jones U.S. Technology
UltraShort Utilities SDP Dow Jones U.S. Utilities
Short & UltraShort International:
ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short MSCI Emerging Markets EUM MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Short MSCI EAFE EFZ MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI EAFE EFU MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets EEV MSCI Emerging Markets index
UltraShort MSCI Japan EWV MSCI Japan Index
UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXP FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
We are beginning to see a lot of value emerging/
On a fundamental basis, stocks are starting to look appealing for investors with a long- term horizon.
bookmark these as well
Ultra Sector ETF's (Long and Short 2X)
UPW-Long Utilities 2X
SDP- Short Utilities 2X
REW-Short Tech 2X
ROM-Long Tech 2X
USD-Long Semi 2X
SSG-Short Semi 2X
DIG-Long Oil and Gas industry 2X
DUG-Short Oil and Gas industry 2X
SRS-Short Real Estate 2X
URE-Long Real Estate 2X
SIJ-Short Industrials 2X
UXI-Long Industrials 2X
RXD-Short healthcare 2X
RXL- Long Healthcare 2X
SKF-Short Financial 2X
UYG-Long Financial 2X
SCC-Short Consumer Service 2X
UCC-Long Consumer Service 2X
SZK-Short Consumer Goods 2X
UGE-Long Consumer Goods 2X
SMN-Short Basic Material 2X
UYM-Long Basic Material 2X
you are dead wrong my friend
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